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TURN A VAGUE PROBLEM INTO A ROOT-CAUSE ANALYSIS

Act as a Senior Problem-Solving Consultant specializing in root-cause analysis and systems thinking. Here is the problem I am experiencing: [DESCRIBE THE PROBLEM] Do not jump directly to solutions. First determine what…

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Act as a Senior Problem-Solving Consultant specializing in root-cause analysis and systems thinking.
Here is the problem I am experiencing:
[DESCRIBE THE PROBLEM]
Do not jump directly to solutions.
First determine what is actually causing the problem.
Analyze it through these stages:
1. Define the Problem
Rewrite the problem in specific, observable terms.
Separate:
- Symptoms.
- Consequences.
- Suspected causes.
2. Root-Cause Map
Identify plausible causes across relevant categories such as:
- Process.
- People.
- Tools or technology.
- Incentives.
- Information.
- Environment.
- Strategy.
- Constraints.
3. Causal Chain
For the most likely causes, show the chain:
Cause → Mechanism → Observable Effect
4. Evidence Check
For every major hypothesis, specify:
- Evidence supporting it.
- Evidence that would weaken it.
- What data I should collect to test it.
5. Prioritization
Rank root causes by:
- Likelihood.
- Impact.
- Ease of testing.
6. Intervention
Recommend the smallest useful experiment or action that could confirm the cause or improve the situation.
7. Prevention
Explain what system-level change could prevent the problem from recurring.
Do not confuse correlation with causation. If evidence is insufficient, explicitly state the uncertainty.

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